LATE CHANGES TO UFC 234, SAM ALVEY IN FOR RYAN SPANN
UFC 234 is set to take place less than fourteen days from today at Rod Laver Arena at Melbourne, Australia. Together with the card fast coming up, there have unfortunately been some accidents and a few fights are affected. Here is an update on the newest struggles for UFC 234 in today’s MMA odds and ends.
Sam Alvey vs. Jimmy Crute, UFC 234
Because of an injury to Ryan Spann, Sam Alvey has stepped on short notice and will take on rising prospect Jimmy Crute at a light heavyweight conflict. News of this new matchup was initially revealed by news.com.au.
Alvey (33-11, 1 NC) is 10-6 overall at the UFC while splitting his time between middleweight and light heavyweight. Since moving around 205lbs, Alvey has gone 2-1 with wins over Gian Villante and Marcin Prachnio along with a sudden TKO loss to Antonio Rogerio Nogueira in his final struggle. Alvey has settled to the role of gatekeeper, and despite the loss to Nogueira he remains a stern test for any up-and-coming in the light heavyweight division, making Crute the ideal opponent. Note that Alvey was originally set to fight Gadzhimurad Antigulov at UFC Fight Night 145 prior to being pulled with this matchup.
Crute (9-0) looked fantastic in his UFC debut as he filed Paul Craig. He’s only 22-years older and contains tons of assurance as an undefeated potential. He is the native and has all the pressure on him, but he hasn’t shown any signs of not having the ability to live up to the hype. From all accounts, Crute seems like he’s a few of those qualities of a future light heavyweight title contender.
As for the chances, Crute was a +110 underdog against Ryan Spann, but I would have bet him at those chances as I watched value there. Against Alvey, I don’t find any reason why Crute wouldn’t be a huge favorite. I would peg him about -300 inside this fight, and I see him beating Alvey and continuing his march towards the top-15 rankings.
Callan Potter vs. Jalin Turner, UFC 234
Due to an injury to Alex Gorgees, Callan Potter will make his UFC debut on brief notice when he takes on Jalin Turner in UFC 234. Nolan King broke the information.
Potter (16-7) is a local Aussie fighter and has been riding an eight-fight win series prior to being submitted by Marcin Held in ACB in his final struggle. He actually has quite a bit of experience, having struggled Jake Matthews earlier in his career. But he’s got no notable wins. Be aware that all of Potter’s struggles have ended inside the distance — win or lose.
Turner (7-4) was pumped out by Vicente Luque in his UFC debut. This was definitely going to be a challenging matchup for Turner, and I am still not sure why the UFC put up him as a sacrificial lamb there. All seven of Turner’s career wins have come by stoppage, though he’s been knocked out three times which is of course concerning.
Turner is the larger name and had a full camp so I do expect him to be preferred, but I believe Potter has a fairly good chance here. Nevertheless, this might be a fight where the props might be the best bet, and the prop I will be looking for is the fight ending within the space, as I fully expect someone to get knocked out.
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